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Thursday, November 05, 2009

LYNN BERGMAN: MICE IN BIG TENT SCARE ELEPHANTS, A FEW RABID!

The Monday, October 26, 2009 Gallup Poll article can be found at:

http://www.thehotjoints.com/2009/10/26/gallup-poll-40-of-america-is-conservative-20-liberal/

The results of the above referenced poll were examined and placed in the following format to provide clarity to the results. The matrix combines potential voters into two sets of criteria. The first criteria (top row of descriptors) identifies the percentages that are Republican, Democrat, Independent (leaning Republican), Independent (leaning Democrat), and Others (those so disinterested or disillusioned that they rarely vote). The second criteria (left column descriptors) identify those that label themselves Conservative, Moderate, Liberal, and Other.

October 26, 2009 Political Matrix of the United States

                       Republican    Democrat  Ind (leaning R)  Ind (leaning D)   Other      Total

Conservative     19.4%             7.7%               5.2%                     4.6%                 3.1%             40%

Moderate            6.5%            13.7%               6.4%                     5.6%                4.8%              37%

Liberal               1.0%            13.0%               2.7%                      2.3%                1.0%              20%

Other                 0.1%             0.6%                0.6%                     0.6%                 1.1%                3%

Total                 27%               35%                  15%                     13%                   10%              100%

 

Matrix Observations

40% of potential voters describe themselves as Conservatives; 19.4% are Conservative Republicans, 9.8% are Conservative Independents, and 7.7% are Conservative Democrats. 20% of eligible voters describe themselves as Liberals; 13% are Liberal Democrats, 5.0% are Liberal Independents, and 1.0% are Liberal Republicans.

The Mathematical Winning Combination

The combination of voters that most easily achieves a majority is those that term themselves either “Conservative”, “Republican”, or Independent (Leaning republican), yields 53.5% of total voters (see below). The math says that a “Conservative Republican” has the best chance of winning. On the other hand, the math says that a “Liberal Republican” can count on only 3.7% (1% + 2.7%) of the vote.  The political matrix screams out to the Republican Party “A Conservative Republican candidate has a 14 times better chance of winning than a Liberal Republican candidate”. Even if ALL Liberal Republicans leave “the fold” because they are not availed of the opportunity to run for office, so be it… losing 1% of the 27% of Republicans is not the end of the world; the winning combination is reduced from 53.5% to 52.5%! The decision to avoid running Liberal Republican candidates (that drop out and support the Democrat opponent) must be made by the Party PRIOR to candidate selection, not after!  NY23 must NEVER again be allowed to happen!

Self-described political affiliation in numerical order by percent (excluding “Other” categories)

Conservative Republican      19.4%

Moderate Democrat              13.7%

Liberal Democrat                  13.0%

Conservative Democrat           7.7%

Moderate Republican              6.5%

Moderate Independent (R)       6.4%

Moderate Independent (D)      5.6%

Conservative Independent (R) 5.2%

Conservative Independent (D) 4.6%

Liberal Independent (R)          2.7%

Liberal Independent (D)         2.3%

Liberal Republican                1.0%

 

Conservative or Republican Total               53.5%

Liberal or Democrat Total                      34.6%

 

Republicans In Name Only (RINOs)

 

RINOs are few in number; the term “Liberal Republican” is practically an oxymoron, representing only 1% of potential voters. These “mice in the big tent” are scary to the elephants but the real problem begins to materialize when the “mice in the big tent” are placed on the ballot! RINOs in office, working clandestinely and/or openly with Democrats would ultimately destroy the Republican Party “brand”.

 

So Why Would Anyone Run as a Liberal Republican?

The answer is simple… a candidate with a liberal voting record that chooses to run as a Republican wishes, above all, to get elected in a predominately Republican district where the term “Democrat” is somewhat toxic to getting elected.

So-called “Liberal Republican” Officeholders and “Liberal Republican” Candidates are limiting Republican Party success, not the number of Liberal Republican Party members. The Republican party must do what the Democrat party does to increase the possibility of success, invite all citizens to join the party (the “big tent”) but select candidates that adhere to the party platform.

Education and Enlightenment

The best way to reveal politicians that are less than honest concerning their political views is a comprehensive voting analysis that reveals their votes on the measureable issues of the day.

A coming issue of the Dakota Beacon will reveal such a study. If you wish to see that the upcoming Dakota Beacon featured study is printed in every large ND newspaper, read the next Dakota Beacon.

Click here to email your elected representatives.

Comments

My question “So Why Would Anyone Run as a Liberal Republican?” has a not so simple second answer that I failed to list in this article.

The second answer is not quite as simple… a liberal candidate that previously failed to win election to the Lousiana House of Representatives as an Independent in a predominately Democratic district decides to run as a Republican. He receives a key endorsement from Democrat Helena Moreno, who narrowly lost the primary election to incumbent Democrat and convicted felon William Jennings “Bill” Jefferson, who was supported by infamous New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin. 

Rep. Anh “Joseph” Quang Cao (Republican) and his wife Hieu “Kate” Hoang moved into William Jennings “Bill” Jefferson’s office after winning over the incumbent (49.6% to 46.8%) in a December 6, 2008 special election in Loisiana’s 2nd District. Cao’s Deputy chief of staff is Democrat Rosalind Peychaud.

Cao, in a meeting at Loyola University New Orleans on April 16, 2009, stated “I recognize there is an issue of global warming that we have to address”. He was the lone Republican to vote for “America’s Affordable Health Choices Act of 2009”.

Here; the kicker! House Minority Leader John Boehner stated that Cao’s win over a convicted felon Democrat with the support of a key Democrat, in the last days of the campaign, was a “symbol of our future”!

If either Boehner or Cao are a symbol of the future of the Republican Party, we are in deep doo doo!

Lynn Bergman on November 8, 2009 at 05:56 pm

Brown’s 52% Win proves “Conservative Republican” Brand… Loss of “Liberal Republicans” only cost him 1%! We need to apply this knowledge all across our great nation in the selection of candidates for this fall’s election.

Documented Liberal Republicans will be vulnerable to young Democrat candidates calling themselves “conservative” and with no record to prove otherwise. Remember… you heard this on this Dakota Beacon website first!

Lynn Bergman on January 20, 2010 at 01:34 am
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